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Health policy and health industry decisions are often made without appropriate consideration of the uncertainties involved. Whether decisions are made at governmental level or by a hospital administrator, those charged with the responsibility of making decisions may improve their likelihood of success by undertaking simulation modelling.

Simulation modelling allows decision makers to make decisions based on a thorough analysis of their available information and choices.

Evans & Peck has been working together with Adaptive Care Systems ( a small specialist health systems simulation company) to provide health systems simulation consulting for over a decade. Joint consulting projects undertaken include:

• Systems Simulation Modelling of the Value and Future Role of Pharmacists in the Australian Health System (Pharmacy Guild of Australia)
• Systems Simulation for Evaluating the impact of ePrescribing on Inpatient Medication Management (Point of Care Clinical Systems Evaluation Project, Centre for Health Informatics, UNSW and NSW Health)
• Pharmacy Workforce Supply and Demand Model (Pharmacy Guild of Australia)
• National HealthCare Alliance Medicines Use Dynamics
• Electronic Prescribing and Medicines Information Consultancy (Pharmaceutical Benefits Branch, Commonwealth Department of Human Services & Health )
• Inpatient Services Supply and Demand Futures Models (Health Dept WA)
• Whole Systems Simulation of Seasonal Demand Management (NSW Health)
• New Drug Marketing Simulation (McKinsey and Co, Europe)

Various example models are shown below. Click on images below to activate demo model (free download)

Contact info@decisionmodelling.com for further information.

Acute Aged Care Interface

Indicative examples only (with mock data values)

Analysis of the acute-aged care interface at a district level using Agent Based modelling.

An executive dashboard is utilised to compare policy scenarios.

(This executive dashboard requires Macromedia Flash plugin to run)

An executive dashboard of a protype interactive user display for the acute-aged care interface. It illustrates the place flow of patients among community, hospital and residential aged care and the multi-level and multi-method abstractions using system dynamics stock, flows and causal loop diagrams and agent based individuals within residential aged care.

(This executive dashboard requires Macromedia Flash plugin to run)

Ward Medicine Management

Indicative example only (with mock data values)